标签： 2021上海油压店推荐

Just now! Collective announcement： cut interest rates!

The world has set off a "wave of interest rate cuts".

After the Fed rarely cut interest rates by 50 basis points, a wave of "interest rate cuts" was launched in many places around the world. On September 19th, Hong Kong, China Monetary Authority, Kuwaiti Central Bank, Bahrain Central Bank, UAE Central Bank and Qatar Central Bank collectively announced interest rate cuts. Before the Federal Reserve, many central banks have chosen to "rush" to cut interest rates, among which the Bank of Canada has dropped three times in a row.

It is worth noting that under the tide of interest rate cuts, the Bank of Japan has become the most special existence, and it may also be an uncertain risk point in the global financial market. At present, the market is paying close attention to the Bank of Japan’s interest rate decision tomorrow (September 20th) and the latest voice of Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda. It is widely expected that the Bank of Japan will keep the key overnight lending rate unchanged at 0.25%, but the meeting in December may raise interest rates again, which may have a certain impact on the global market.

The trend of domestic monetary policy is also the focus of market attention. Many institutions believe that the tone of China’s monetary policy has gained a rare adjustment time window and has the space to promote a new round of RRR cuts and interest rate cuts.

Tide of interest rate cuts

On the morning of September 19th, Hong Kong, China Monetary Authority announced that it would cut the benchmark interest rate by 50 basis points to 5.25%.

It should be pointed out that Hong Kong, China has implemented the linked exchange rate system, and it is not surprising to cut interest rates with the Federal Reserve this time. According to official website, under the linked exchange rate system, the exchange rate of the Hong Kong dollar remained stable within the range of 7.75-7.85 Hong Kong dollars to 1 US dollar.

In addition to the Hong Kong, China Monetary Authority, a number of central banks have also announced interest rate cuts, specifically:

The Bank of Kuwait announced that it would cut interest rates by 25 basis points to 4%;

Bahrain’s central bank lowered the overnight deposit rate by 50 basis points to 5.50%;

The UAE central bank lowered the overnight deposit rate by 50 basis points to 4.90%;

Qatar’s central bank is even more radical, cutting the deposit rate by 55 basis points to 5.2%, the repurchase rate by 55 basis points to 5.45%, and the loan rate by 55 basis points to 5.70%.

In fact, before the Fed cut interest rates, many central banks had chosen to "rush" to cut interest rates:

On September 18th, the Bank of Indonesia decided to cut the benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to 6%, at the same time, cut the deposit interest rate to 5.25% and the loan interest rate to 6.75%.

On September 12th, the European Central Bank announced that it would cut interest rates for the second time in the year, reducing the deposit mechanism interest rate by 25 basis points, reducing the main refinancing rate and marginal lending rate by 60 basis points, and reducing the three major interest rates to 3.50%, 3.65% and 3.90% respectively.

On September 4th, the Bank of Canada cut its key interest rate by 25 basis points to 4.25%, the third consecutive rate cut this year. In July and June this year, the Bank of Canada cut interest rates twice in a row, lowering the benchmark interest rate to 4.5%. It is almost certain to cut interest rates by another 25 basis points in October;

On August 15, the Philippine central bank announced a 25 basis point interest rate cut;

On August 14th, the New Zealand Federal Reserve unexpectedly announced a 25 basis point interest rate cut, reducing the benchmark interest rate from 5.5% to 5.25%.

On July 31, the Bank of England announced that it would cut interest rates by 25 basis points and cut the benchmark interest rate from 5.25% to 5%, which was the first time since March 2020.

In June this year, the European Central Bank lowered the main refinancing rate, marginal lending rate and deposit mechanism interest rate by 25 basis points, which is the first time the bank has cut interest rates since 2019;

In May this year, the Swedish central bank announced a 25 basis point interest rate cut, which was the first time in eight years.

In March of this year, the Swiss National Bank launched the "first shot" in the year of global interest rate cuts in 2024, and Switzerland became the first developed country in Europe and America to announce interest rate cuts; In June, the central bank reduced the borrowing cost to 1.25% again.

The choice of the Bank of Japan

Against the background of "interest rate cut tide" in the world, the Bank of Japan has become the most special existence, and it is also an uncertain risk point in the global financial market.

At the end of July this year, the Bank of Japan unexpectedly announced a rate hike and decided to adjust the policy interest rate from 0-0.1% to 0.25%. This decision to raise interest rates once led to a sharp fall in the global market.

Judging from the feedback from the capital market, the Fed’s interest rate cut seems to have been fully priced. At present, the market is paying close attention to the Bank of Japan’s interest rate decision on September 20 and the latest voice of Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda, which may have a certain impact on the global market.

At present, it is widely expected that the Bank of Japan will keep the key overnight lending rate unchanged at 0.25%, but the December meeting may raise interest rates again.

Analysts said that the Bank of Japan’s monetary policy prospect has become as critical as the Federal Reserve, based on the potential impact of its policies on the yen carry trade. What the Bank of Japan officials have implied in their recent continuous statements and what the market generally expects at present is that the Bank of Japan will continue to raise interest rates.

Of the 36 economists surveyed by the Japan Economic Research Center, 19 expect the Bank of Japan to raise interest rates again in December. Before the meeting of the Bank of Japan on December 18th-19th, the Bank will pay attention to the main indicators to judge whether the economy is on the right track, including the short-term survey of the Bank of Japan in September and December, the GDP data in the third quarter and the corporate profitability in the current quarter.

In addition, most economists surveyed by Reuters expect the Bank of Japan to raise interest rates again this year, and more than three-quarters of them bet that the next rate hike will be in December.

Masahiro Ichikawa, strategist of Sumitomo Mitsui DS Asset Management Company, said that if Ueda Kazuo said at the press conference after the interest rate decision on September 20 that the economy and prices are on the normal track, but the central bank needs to pay close attention to the market, this may be a signal to raise interest rates in December this year or January next year.

Yi Kun, an analyst at Huatai Securities, believes that the Bank of Japan’s interest rate meeting is also worthy of attention. As the scissors gap between the US and Japan’s monetary policy continues to narrow and the endogenous growth momentum in Japan is restored, the wage growth exceeds expectations, which means that the yen has the motivation to further appreciate in the medium and long term. It may also bring the "spillover effect" of RMB appreciation expectations.

Domestic policy space is open?

The "opening" of the Fed’s sharp interest rate cut may narrow the spread between China and the United States. Many institutions believe that the tone of China’s monetary policy has gained a rare adjustment time window and has the space to promote a new round of RRR cuts and interest rate cuts.

Lian Ping, chairman of the Forum of China’s Chief Economists, predicted that the current Fed’s interest rate cut cycle may last as long as 14-16 months. In this context, Lian Ping believes that the tone of China’s monetary policy has gained a rare adjustment time window, which has the space to promote a new round of RRR cuts and interest rate cuts.

Lian Ping said that from the domestic environment, macroeconomic and financial indicators are relatively weak, and further support from monetary policy is urgently needed. Reasonable adjustment of the tone of monetary policy as soon as possible will help boost market confidence and change the current situation that market expectations are generally weak. From the perspective of policy coordination, in order to enhance the effect of countercyclical adjustment, it is necessary to adjust the tone of monetary policy accordingly, from "steady" to "moderately loose" in substance.

On September 19, Liu Gang, a researcher in the research department of CICC, said that if the domestic easing is stronger than the Federal Reserve, it will bring greater boost to the market; If the range is limited, which is more likely under the current realistic constraints, then the impact of the Fed’s interest rate cut on the China market may be marginal and partial.

For the expectation of policy easing in September, the market expects the call for RRR reduction to be increasingly concentrated. Including Zheshang Securities, Guojin Securities, Caixin Securities, etc., all issued opinions that the central bank of China may lower the RRR in the near future.

Qin Tai, an analyst at Huajin Securities, believes that it is imperative for monetary policy to shift to a supportive neutral stance. It is a more reasonable monetary policy expectation to maintain the forecast of a 50bp RRR cut in September.

Proofreading: Liao Shengchao

＂If you are in love＂, play ＂young and old＂ and create a Japanese style in Abbas.


stage photo

Click to view: The scoring of the main competition unit of the 65th Cannes Film Festival was released.

　　　 Movie network news(Text/Cannes Film Festival Reporting Group) On May 20th, French time, Palme d ‘Or director abbas kiarostami appeared in the main competition unit of Cannes. Set in Japan, the film tells the love story between an old scholar and a young girl. The whole film was created by director Abbas with Japanese style, but from the accurate and smooth dialogue, we can see some connection between the film and the director’s previous work.

　　　 The film "Like Love" tells the story of an old scholar Watanabe and a college girl, Jingzi, who want to keep their relationship after spending a night, but they are constantly blocked by people. At the beginning of the film, the director shot it for 5 minutes with a fixed position and lens, and made the heroine Gao Lilin keep silent and not show her picture. And with a prop of her mobile phone, she explained the relationship between Jingzi and her boyfriend clearly, which was not clever.

　　　 When sending Kyoko to school, Watanabe met Kyoko’s boyfriend, Zeming. He lied that he was Kyoko’s grandfather according to his age, and talked about their relationship with Zeming. He also tried to persuade Zeming to break up with Kyoko. After Jingzi got into the car after the test, the most wonderful paragraph in the film also appeared. Three people with their own worries sat in the narrow space of the car and communicated with each other with truth and falsehood. An ordinary three-person dialogue scene, under the control and scheduling of the director, not only did not show stagnation and constraint, but showed incomparable vitality.

　　　 Just after Watanabe, an old scholar, fell into a close relationship with Kyoko, the fate surrounding him and Kyoko seemed to become an organic life, which developed in a new direction with their choice. The test topic of Jingzi in the film "Evolution" also coincides with the proposition of "selective evolution of fate". However, in the changing fate, every character seems to have a final destination. People soar with the waves of fate, and in the end they are inevitably thrown back to the shore, soaked and shivering. For Watanabe, if you choose a crystal, you will also choose to be bright. So when it was finally discovered that Kyoko was lying, Zeming ran to Watanabe’s house to make trouble, the big stone thrown at the window also came from the hand of fate.

　　　 The film "Like Love" is regarded as the next episode of director Abbas’s previous work, and the two films eventually form a series of "exotic love" by Abbas. Just as Woody Allen traveled around Europe, Abbas, the great director, also made films abroad in recent years. The background of this film is set in Tokyo, and Gao Lilin and Jia Guangliang are all Japanese stars. Watching this film, you can easily find that Abbas, as a foreigner, observes Japanese society carefully. At the same time, it is not difficult to find the differences between the film and Japanese films in the standard Japanese scenery of "Like Love".

Self-heating food, another pig on the tuyere？

Editor’s Note: This article comes from WeChat WeChat official account "Spirit Beast" (ID:lingshouke), by Dust, published by 36Kr with authorization.

I didn’t expect "celebrating the New Year on the spot" to add another fire to the self-heating food market.

On January 20, 2021, on the day of a well-known e-commerce New Year Festival, 200,000 people placed an order for self-heating hot pot-this figure is 10 times that of the same period last year. Compared with the situation that self-heated food was robbed last year, consumers may be more worried about "which one to choose" this year.

Up to now, hundreds of brands have poured into the "self-heating" food track. In addition to new brands such as Mo Xiaoxian and Zi Hei Pot, which focus on self-heating food, leisure food enterprises such as Uni-President, Master Kong, Liangpin Shop and Three Squirrels have increased their prices, and offline hot pot brands such as Haidilao and Xiaolongkan are also one of the main forces of self-heating hot pot.

And new players are constantly entering this track. For example, Yang Guofu, an offline Mala Tang chain brand of "self-heating Mala Tang Hotpot", was recently launched, and its products have been launched on the e-commerce platform. However, Yang Guofu does not have an advantage in online operation, product features and pricing. It is still unknown whether the "cross-border" of offline stores can tear open the self-heating hot pot market.

In the past two years, every time self-heated food is pushed to the forefront, it is always accompanied by abnormal events such as epidemic situation and Chinese New Year. But in fact, there is still a large market "Red Sea" to be developed for self-heating food in outdoor, school and other scenes and sinking markets.

However, self-heating food is only a branch of instant food. With the congestion of the original track and the attack of semi-finished products, instant noodles and takeout, how can new players open up the market in the future, and when will weak players be eliminated, which is more interesting.

"I bought several brands of self-heating hot pot and rice from the Internet. Before the year, the price of vegetables and meat was expensive, and some convenient food could be prepared for emergencies." Zhao Man, who stayed in Beijing for the New Year because of the epidemic, said.

When the year ended, the epidemic came again, and the scene that convenience foods were snapped up a year ago seemed to leave an impression. What is different this year is that the number of "preparing for war" enterprises has increased significantly, and many brands have "broken their hearts" for how to eat well.

According to Taobao statistics, the number of brands of "instant hot pot" and "instant rice" on Taobao and Tmall channels has exceeded 1,000, accounting for nearly one-seventh of the whole instant vegetarian industry.

The latest research by Mintel shows that the market share of self-heating foods in convenience foods has climbed from 4.4% in 2018 to 7.6% in 2019, and this figure is still rising.

Although there are many incoming players, most of the market share is still in the hands of several "big players".

At present, the categories of self-heating food are mainly self-heating hot pot and self-heating rice, while self-heating barbecue, grilled fish and rice noodles have not yet gained a large market share.

According to the types of enterprises, self-heating food players can be subdivided into four branches: cutting-edge brands, catering brands, leisure snacks and convenience foods.

Cutting-edge brands are represented by self-hi pot, Mo Xiaoxian, chopsticks fashion, etc. In the early stage, they achieved rapid development through "OEM" production mode; Catering brands mainly rely on the original supply chain to transform the technology and taste of new products, such as Haidilao and Xiaolongkan, which are well known to the public. Snack food has snack companies such as good shops and three squirrels, and it has played a role in marketing planning.

The convenience food enterprises such as Uni-President, Master Kong and Jinmailang are "experts" of convenience food themselves, and this time they have also broadened the categories of convenience food through their own industrial chains.

People in the industry believe that there is no one type of enterprise with obvious advantages at present. For traditional convenience food enterprises, apart from their own productivity advantages, if they have the marketing ability of cutting-edge brands and the level of taste control of catering brands, there will be great room for expansion in the later stage.

Of course, few enterprises are "out of the circle" only by relying on their original advantages. For example, the brand of "opening a small stove" under Uni-President is one of the successful cases of "traditional enterprise+new marketing model"-the revenue in the first half of 2020 exceeded 170 million, a year-on-year increase of over 15 times.

It is understood that self-heating rice is the main product for cooking small stoves, and the category of self-heating hot pot is also being introduced one after another, and the product pricing ranges from 25 to 38 yuan.

As for brand endorsement, Sean Xiao, the top traffic star, was chosen by Kaixiaozao. In the "traffic wars" of many self-heating food enterprises, he used the fan logic of "buy = support" to enjoy a wave of "fan economy" dividends and successfully created the explosive product of self-heating rice.

"It is difficult to copy the model of explosive products with small stoves. It may be one of the most successful brands in terms of traffic at present, but it does not have an advantage in terms of price and production capacity, and it has not been well known and accepted by core consumers other than fans. This is a serious problem." Experts said.

According to "Spirit Beast", in 2020, the goods in Tmall flagship store are often in a state of tight inventory.

Kai Xiaozao believes that the competition in the self-heating food market is becoming increasingly fierce, and self-heating food, as a long-term development convenience food category, is more important to enhance product strength than capacity expansion.

Cai Hongliang, the founder of the self-cooking pot brand, said in an interview that "in the future, the self-cooking pot should still focus on the deep cultivation of product strength, start the construction of automated technology factories, further improve the iterative speed of production processes and products, and strengthen the core barriers of enterprises."

Everyone should strengthen product strength. What is "product strength"?

Product marketing experts believe that product power is "the ability of products with positive value to be expressed through channels, and to meet consumers’ desires and needs, so as to make them want to buy."

In short, in the field of self-heating food, how to satisfy consumers’ appetite is very important.

However, according to Spirit Beast, at present, a large part of self-heating food brands on the market are still assembled by "OEM" mode. That is to say, the seasonings, ingredients, heating packages and packaging of self-heating food are processed by various factories, and the brands are finally integrated. Compared with "food vendors", many self-heating food brands are more like an assembler.

It is precisely because self-heating products have low technical barriers and are easy to be copied, so large and small food enterprises want to share a piece of the action.

The consequence of this is that for a long time, consumers feel that different brands of products have very similar tastes.

In contrast, the unique taste of the self-help pot is its main advantage.

It is understood that there are more than 100 kinds of SKUs in the self-heating pot, mainly self-heating hot pot and self-heating rice. Since the commodity went on the market in January 2018, the sales in that year exceeded 100 million, increased to 500 million yuan in 2019, and is expected to exceed 1 billion yuan in 2020.

At the same time, in just over three years, it has completed three rounds of financing, with a valuation of over 500 million US dollars, becoming one of the "big winners" in the rise of the self-heating food industry.

Interestingly, some consumers once thought that "self-heating food" was "self-cooking pot" and took the brand name of self-cooking pot as the brand name.

According to the introduction of the pot, the company has its own taste research and development center since its establishment. In 2020, the new round of financing will also be mainly used for deepening the product strength and strengthening the construction of the upstream supply chain, and gradually realize its own production.

However, self-cooking pot consumables (consumables) and staple food materials (rice, etc.) are still processed by other foundries.

Some experts also pointed out that at present, the category of self-heating rice in self-cooking pot has formed advantages different from other brands in taste and price, but according to the development direction of self-cooking pot (building scientific and technological chemical plants and improving production capacity), how to strengthen quality control in the future is the key to development.

Because the explosion of enterprise sales requires a rapid increase in production capacity, which requires the simultaneous improvement of management capabilities, otherwise it is easy to make mistakes in quality control.

One more thing, one of the important reasons why self-heated food can "suddenly emerge" is that it has hit the pain point of "unhealthy instant noodles" in consumer cognition, so keeping the threshold of "quality control" is the most important thing in the future.

According to the data of upstream factories, the gross profit margin of self-heating hot pot is extremely high, and the cost is mostly between 10 yuan and 15 yuan, while the retail price is generally higher than that of 25 yuan, and the profit is nearly doubled.

Indeed, the low technical difficulty and high gross profit margin of self-heating food is one of the important reasons for attracting a large number of food enterprises and capital to flood into the track.

At present, some players who entered the game earlier have obtained the support of capital. In the future, the development of self-heating food industry is more likely to fall into the cycle of "brand rise, capital investment, brand strengthening barriers, and capital follow-up".

All in all, there are not many opportunities left for new players. Fortunately, the self-heating food track is still in the incremental market, and there is no leading brand so far.

The data shows that the size of China’s convenience food market exceeded 450 billion yuan in 2019. With the popularity of self-heating food and snail powder, it is estimated that the size of the convenience food market will reach 481.2 billion yuan in 2020. Among them, the self-heating food market is also expected to increase from 3.5 billion yuan in 2019 to 4.2 billion yuan.

According to the forecast of GF Securities, the self-heating food industry will reach the market space of 15 billion yuan in the next 5-7 years.

Experts believe that these increments mostly exist in the development of sinking market, the increase of application scenarios and the expansion of target groups.

According to the Insight Report of Instant Food Industry in 2021 released by the First Financial Business Data Center, the proportion of instant food products in first-and second-tier cities in China is over 60%. However, the market share of self-heating food in first-and second-tier cities will only be higher, and there is still a large blank area in the sinking market.

On the other hand, the report shows that the five major scenes that constitute the new trend of instant food consumption are "one person to eat", "family to eat", "new snack economy", "outdoor scene" and "dormitory sharing".

At present, the customer groups of self-heating food are mainly post-85, post-90 and post-95, a large part of which is because the application scenarios of self-heating food are still more applied to "office" or "home".

However, in the view of Chen Yuefeng, the founder of Spirit Beast, "the elderly group neglected by many industries and brands may have greater consumption potential in the future."

This is because the aging of the population has become an inevitable development trend in China, and this group of people have more or less the difficulty of mobility and the mentality of pursuing simple and healthy food needs.

We have to admit that self-heating food is an "evolutionary version" of instant noodles and other fast food, and it has solved the pain point of convenience food "health" to a certain extent, allowing consumers to "see" the cooking process of rice, deepening the concept of food health and increasing the "fireworks" of convenience food.

Recently, Kaixiaozao and Sanjiu Weitai jointly launched the "Angelica Pork Belly Chicken" self-heating rice, which raised the concept of "health" of self-heating food to a higher level, and some consumers suddenly thought of adding raw eggs, vegetables and other ingredients to self-heating rice, which not only ensured nutrition, but also enhanced the fun of "cooking".

However, "at present, the self-heating food industry is still in the early and middle stages of development, and there is still a certain distance from the requirements of the elderly in terms of food health and safety and nutritional collocation." Chen Yuefeng said.

Therefore, if self-heating food can really "break through" the demand defense line of the elderly and become a "home necessity" for the elderly in the future, self-heating food may also usher in a bigger and longer explosive "out of the circle".

So, for a group of self-heating food brands, who is the lucky darling?

More fashionable and more fun

On August 6th, the National Fitness Online Games ushered in the 100th day of its official launch. Up to now, the cumulative number of participants in the event has exceeded 12 million, and more than 2.7 million certificates have been issued. The cumulative number of hits in various events has exceeded 1.5 billion, and the cumulative exposure of the event has reached more than 5 billion. In addition to the traditional projects with high participation such as running, the newly launched four projects are also popular, attracting public participation.

At present, the online sports events of the National Fitness Online Games have included more than 100 events, including intellectual sports, cycling and running, physical strength, dancing, ice and snow, scientific fitness videos and so on. In traditional sports, the participation of sports such as ball games, running, cycling and skipping rope has been very high, while the four newly launched sports such as softball, AI broadcast gymnastics, physical fitness and frisbee have also become the projects that more and more sports enthusiasts are competing to participate in, and they are quickly popular.

Softball: Young people are also involved.

Softball, also known as Taiji Softball, has a racket similar to that of badminton. The difference is that the hitting surface of Softball racket is not a net structure, but a thin cloth shape with Tai Chi patterns printed on it. The ball is a bit like tennis, with a hard shell in the middle, leather in the outer layer and fine sand in the inner layer. Its method of catching and throwing the ball is completely different from badminton and tennis. It pays attention to the tangent angle at the moment when the racket touches the ball, and throws the ball tangent after entering the racket to take the ball in a complete arc, and has four basic elements: welcome, accept, lead and throw.

Softball is a sport that needs to release its strength with softness. Although it looks simple, it has high technical requirements, paying attention to being soft and rigid, avoiding hitting, being good at buffering when catching the ball, and the actual amount of exercise is not small. Wang Shuying, a 62-year-old from Tongchuan, Shaanxi Province, has been practicing softball for more than ten years. Her summary of this sport is: "Softball seems to be relaxed and comfortable to practice, but the strength balance and orientation control need to be coordinated with the whole body, and the exercise effect is self-evident."

Judging from the participation in this online sports meeting, the popularity of softball exceeds many people’s expectations. The participants ranged from children to the elderly. According to statistics, more than 6,700 videos were uploaded to this online sports meeting, with nearly 19.47 million people playing. I believe that softball will be welcomed by more and more people in the future.

Physical fitness program: suitable for people who like to do a lot of exercise.

Opening and closing, squatting, leg lifting and skipping are four basic sports, which are the four sports challenges of physical fitness in this online sports meeting. In Le Power’s "Comprehensive Sports AI Challenge" competition area, AI technology is used to provide tricks for this online activity. Through intelligent recognition, participants can complete their actions more accurately and exercise better.

However, compared with other online sports events, physical fitness events are called "Little Iron Man Events" by many sports enthusiasts. Just like the name of the project-physical fitness, it requires participants’ physical fitness and endurance, and tests the comprehensive ability and core strength of athletes. However, many sports fans actively signed up for the physical fitness events of this online sports meeting, which really surprised many people.

The explosion of physical fitness events is actually benefiting from the vigorous development of the national fitness campaign in recent years. More and more people have begun to like sports and even made it a habit in life.

AI broadcast gymnastics: start exercising anytime, anywhere

Broadcast gymnastics is a familiar experience for Chinese people. When everyone is studying, broadcast gymnastics is an unforgettable memory. However, with the vigorous development of running, cycling and other sports, broadcast gymnastics has gradually become a memory in many people’s minds. However, when the AI broadcast gymnastics of the online sports meeting was launched, it unexpectedly encountered great enthusiasm for participation, which I believe also made many people find their former happiness.

The broadcast gymnastics of this online sports meeting is combined with artificial intelligence technology-AI broadcast gymnastics. Participants can start fitness as long as they enter the interface of "National Smart Community AI Broadcasting Exercise Workshop Exercise" in the Yuedong Circle App and let their bodies enter the range of the mobile phone camera. The AI system is matched with the ninth set of broadcast gymnastics single demonstration teaching version film through 17 points on the joint parts of the operator’s head, facial features, neck and waist, limbs, etc., to form a scoring system, which realizes accurate counting, real-time scoring and ranking of a set of broadcast gymnastics practiced by the masses.

Frisbee: retro sports are hot and "out of the circle"

Almost overnight, Frisbee, a retro sport, swept the country, and the "National Fitness Online Games 2022 National Frisbee Online Challenge" hosted by the National Frisbee Promotion Committee also caused a registration boom.

With the breaking of Frisbee, it has become a new way of life and social interaction. During the Frisbee Online Challenge, Frisbee enthusiasts and practitioners from all walks of life joined hands with many influential people in different fields to start the cross-border Frisbee relay in Weibo Division. The topic of Frisbee national relay has been read by over 100 million people, which indicates that outdoor sports events represented by Frisbee will continue to promote the all-round revival of the sports industry.

On the occasion of "National Fitness Day" on August 8th, the online sports meeting will also combine the theme activities of "National Fitness Day" and launch a number of online events on the Internet sports platform, such as running, cycling, triathlon and other events. Local sports bureaus will also hold different types of sports events, including ball games, square dances, aerobics dances, Tai Ji Chuan, fitness qigong and other popular items, as well as rich online display items such as skipping rope, chess and cards, martial arts, ice and snow, fitness science, and collective fun activities such as family games and community games.

The popularity of the "National Fitness Online Games" reflects the people’s attention to health and their pursuit of quality of life. Scientific and technological means empower the whole people’s fitness, and the fitness method can change with time and need, and it is "zero distance" from life. In the future, the "National Fitness Online Games" will continue to promote the development of national participation, national sharing and national health with high quality, and launch more sports that integrate the characteristics of fitness, fun and high technology, so that everyone can gain more health and fun in sports. (From August 8th, China Sports Daily, 04 edition)

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IPhone sales decline, Zhengzhou Foxconn national day contraction？ Employee： Only some production lines are working overtime.

　　"National Day is a rare golden working period in a year. Why should we rest?" This holiday, Zhao Fei (pseudonym), who has worked in Zhengzhou Foxconn for nearly five years, is still at the front end of the iPhone16 assembly line. He said that because workers’ salaries and company orders are at a high level at the same time, "almost no one will choose to take a holiday during the National Day".

　　"As in previous years, the salary for the National Day holiday this year is three times that on weekdays." Zhao Fei said that from October 1 ST to October 3 rd, the company paid wages according to the daily three times; From October 4 th to October 5 th, because it belongs to the weekend, it will be paid twice as much as usual; Wages on October 6 and October 7 are the daily level.

　　Before the National Day holiday, domestic consumer electronic products ushered in intensive release. On the mobile phone side, Huawei MateXT tri-folding screen mobile phone, iPhone16, Glory Magic V3 and Meizu Lucky 08 AI appeared one after another; In terms of automobiles, according to incomplete statistics, nearly 50 new cars including Huawei Zhijie R7 and Chery Tiggo 8 PLUS went on the market in September.

　　"I’ve been so busy recently that I’ve been working as soon as I entered the workshop." Li Wei (pseudonym) is in charge of the whole machine test of iPhone16 in an electronics factory in Jiangsu. Because the new machine has just been listed, the factory has added production lines since August and increased the manpower reserve.

　　He said that the factory is a "two-shift" production mode, and he has been working on the night shift for more than a month. He has not been informed to switch to the day shift system, and he is already "tired and dizzy".

　　"Although tired, everyone is generally willing to work overtime for high salary." Li Wei said that during the National Day holiday, high unit salary and high order volume will show a "multiplier effect". "April to August every year is the off-season of sales of consumer electronics. At that time, there were not many orders, and everyone didn’t even have the opportunity to work overtime." Li Wei said that his personal workload has reached the "full production" standard of the factory. "My other partner and I are now testing 12,000 mobile phones every day, with an average of 6,000 mobile phones per person every day."

　　Li Wei said that he can only adjust himself when he is busy. "After entering the workshop for two hours, you can use these two hours to think about all the happy things to neutralize the boring work".

　　IPhone sales fell short of expectations

　　Zhengzhou Foxconn reduces production by reducing recruitment.

　　On September 26th, a report from Morgan Stanley pointed out that the average delivery time of iPhone 16 from booking to today was 14 days, which was the shortest in all cycles in the past five years, which meant that the sales of iPhone 16 series were less than expected. Prior to this, Guo Ming, a well-known analyst, said that the pre-order sales of iPhone 16 series were about 37 million units in the first weekend, which was about 12.7% lower than the sales of iPhone 15 in the same period last year.

　　Another set of data also shows that the iPhone 16 market is in a downturn. Barclays Bank analysts Tim Long and George Wang pointed out in the report that due to lower-than-expected demand, Apple may have cut production of iPhone 16 series in the fourth quarter. The data of spare parts procurement shows that the iPhone 16 series has cut about 3 million units.

　　Canalys data shows that the sales of iPhone 15 series in the second quarter of this year were also lower than expected. Among the iPhones sold in the second quarter, the proportion of four iPhones 15 was 67%, which was less than 79% of the iPhone 14 series in the second quarter of last year, a decrease of more than 10 percentage points.

　　Or affected by the overall decline in iPhone sales, during the National Day this year, Zhengzhou Foxconn was not as busy as in previous years. Zhao Fei said that the factory reserved a batch of manpower in September, and opened the recruitment channel on October 4th, but the recruitment efforts were reduced compared with previous years, "maybe only half the level of previous years", and at the same time, the number of additional production lines this year was not as good as the same period last year.

　　Zhao Fei said that before the National Day, it was generally a stage of "mass production" in factories, and only some production lines were working overtime this year. "The production line responsible for the production of iPhone16 is busy, and the daily working hours of workers are about 11 hours, all week round. The production line responsible for the foreign orders of the iPhone15 series has almost no overtime work. "

　　Changes in working hours have affected the income of some workers. "Workers who are responsible for the production of old models will have their income reduced accordingly with the change of overtime hours." At present, the reward of returning workers is considerable among all workers.

　　Zhao Fei said that Foxconn’s workers are mainly divided into three types: return workers, hourly workers and regular workers. Fee-returning workers refer to workers who join the company within a specific period of time, and they can get a bonus of 7,000-8,000 yuan after the three-month construction period.

　　"On average, the monthly salary of Zhengzhou Foxconn returning workers is about 5,000-6,000 yuan; Hourly workers are workers who are paid according to the working hours. The hourly wage is about 26 yuan, working 8 hours a day, and the overtime hours are not fixed; The remuneration of regular workers is calculated by the basic salary of about 2,200 yuan, plus irregular overtime pay. "

　　The factory has emerged as a "king of rolls"

　　Work 12 hours a day

　　Not all electronics factory workers were paid three times during the National Day.

　　Zhang Hao (a pseudonym), a junior, worked as an intern in a factory in Wenzhou, where she worked as an OEM for Volkswagen, Chery and other car companies, and was responsible for testing some parts. He said that during the holiday, the factory only paid double wages on October 2 and October 3, and the rest of the time was the daily salary level.

　　"Even if you don’t get three times the salary, it won’t affect everyone’s work enthusiasm." Zhang Hao said that after the employment agency and the school provide internship opportunities, they will draw part of the commission from the college students’ labor remuneration. His hourly salary is 16 yuan, and he wants to work overtime during the National Day to increase his income.

　　"April to June is the off-season of the factory every year. At that time, everyone’s average salary was only more than 3,000 yuan. As car companies introduced new cars one after another, a number of’ roll kings’ emerged in the factory, working from 8 am to 10 pm, except for meals. Working for up to 12 hours a day, and going to other working groups to help on rest days." Zhang Hao told the Times Weekly reporter.

　　The increase in orders has caused some workers to "roll up" and brought pressure to some workers.

　　"The impression of the outside world on the assembly line usually stays on the keywords of’ repetition’ and’ boring’. In fact, the workshop is also a small society, especially in the busy stage, and it seems that everyone is more likely to have conflicts." Li Wei said that as the workload increases, the probability of omissions will also increase. "After the omission, it is inevitable to be scolded by the team leader."

　　Liu Ying (not his real name), who is engaged in testing at Foxconn, told Times Weekly that when he is busy, he should maintain a good relationship with his partner and superiors.

　　He said that each station in the factory will roughly assign two workers to cooperate to complete a task. If the partner is inefficient, it will also affect his own rhythm. Liu Ying also said that he prefers night shift to day shift, "because there is no leader to inspect the night shift".

　　Zhao Fei recalled to the Times Weekly reporter that he had always been kind to junior workers, but only once criticized a worker for an omission. As a result, the worker took advantage of the meal break and hid more than a dozen prototypes on the production line. "I have been looking for a week, but I still haven’t found a few."

　　Li Wei told the Times Weekly reporter that although it was the peak of employment, there were also many workers who left the electronics factory during the National Day.

Peng Yuyan’s old photos were exposed 30 years ago, and the big eyes of the lid head turned to netizens

1905 movie network news On March 25, Peng Yuyan posted a photo with his cousin 30 years ago through Weibo, and added, "My cousin turned to the old photo of 30 years ago, when I was very young and cute. When my grandmother was busy, she would help take care of me. In her impression, I was only 6 or 7 years old, not 37 years old. Time really flies, cherish the present, and live in the moment." In the photo, Peng Yuyan is wearing a white T-shirt with a pot cover head, his mouth is slightly pouted, and his eyes are staring at the camera with piercing eyes. She looks very cute. The cousin is wearing a black and white color scheme, black shawl hair, and smiles in the mirror, which is bright and moving.


It is reported that yesterday was Peng Yuyan’s 37th birthday. On his way to the fourth day, Peng Yuyan said that he had "taken another step towards a mature man". The old childhood photos released today made netizens once again lament the immortal appearance of the male god of Eternal God from childhood to adulthood. Many netizens rushed to the comment area immediately to comment, "Brother, you really have grown from a little cutie to a big one", "A good-looking person has always looked good since childhood"


Deng Chao was beaten by his wife at the scene, and Sun Li was sure not to participate in the ＂Running Man＂


??1905 movie network news　On November 3, the film held a "pillow fight" press conference in Beijing, and the directors Deng Chao and Yu Baimei, as well as the stars Sun Li, Dai Lele, Zhao Manzhu and Luan Yuanhui, joined the battle. Deng Chao and Sun Li, the husband and wife, "turned heads" on the spot and fought each other with pillows. Sun Li also laughed and said that Deng Chao was usually three to one at home, and Deng Chao was completely disadvantaged. It is reported that the film will be released on Christmas on December 24.

　

Sun Li beat her husband on the spot, Deng Chao refused to admit defeat and was chased by hundreds of people with pillows

　

??The day’s event was held in the university gymnasium. Deng Chao and Yu Baimei led the villain team and the angel team respectively, each with a hundred players. Since the theme of the event was called "2015 Autumn and Winter Long Pants Trend Conference", the main creators were all wearing long johns. Deng Chao’s team wore red, Yu Baimei’s team wore black, and Sun Li acted as a referee, holding a tea pot and appearing with a whistle.

　

??There were three pillow fights, and the first one was between Sun Li and Deng Chao. Deng Chao, whose family status was not high, really wanted to save some face in this session, but he was attacked by Sun Li frequently. She first hit her husband with a pillow, and then kicked him directly. Seeing his wife so desperately, Deng Chao no longer showed mercy, and both of them used their full strength, with very ferocious expressions. After the end, Deng Chao also threatened Sun Li, "Aren’t you afraid that I will take revenge on you at the future press conference?" Sun Li didn’t care, saying that Deng Chao had no chance, because he would never come again.

　

??In the second game, Deng Chao single-handedly challenged Yu Baimei, and the two directors came and went, regardless of the outcome. In the third game, all the players on the scene came together. After Sun Li blew the whistle, the red and black teams launched a fierce fight, and feathers flew all over the sky for a while. After playing for a while, everyone began to chase Deng Chao regardless of the team. In the end, the referee Sun Li determined that Yu Baimei won the pillow fight, and Deng Chao, who lost, had to clean the scene with a broom.

　

Sun Li directly called out that she was tricked into being the heroine. If she didn’t go to "Running Man", she said she would tear her husband apart in seconds.

　

??"Scoundrel Angel" tells a series of funny stories after the encounter between Sun Li’s straight-A student Cha Xiaodao and Deng Chao’s professional debt collector Mo Feili. Sun Li exclaimed in an interview that she was deceived this time. "When they came to me, they said how cute and pure this character was. I read the script like this, but they changed some adjectives. When dubbing, I had to match the stupid and second energy. I felt fooled. It was like taking ecstasy after acting for three months."

　

??Regarding Sun Li’s accusation, Deng Chao refused to admit it at all, "In fact, everyone can feel my love for her when they look at it, and it doesn’t need to be described in words, it can only be reflected in the sky." After the word sky was said, the scene was cold for a while, and then Yu Baimei and others began to laugh at Deng Chao, calling him straight-A student possessed. Deng Chao continued to defend, saying that he was not crazy at home, and he usually read books, and also gave "The Old Man and the Sea" as an example. Unfortunately, no one believed it, and everyone still laughed.

　

??Sun Li’s performance that day was so sturdy, and it made people look forward to her performance when she participated in the "Running Man". Sun Li first released a bold statement: "I think according to my performance today, if I go, he will be more dangerous, so I’ll forget it." Hearing his wife’s words, Deng Chao would definitely not admit defeat, and bluntly said that if Sun Li went, he would be torn apart by himself.

＂parking service＂ is online, and supervision cannot be dropped.

　　The parking problem in the hospital has been bothering many car owners who go to see a doctor. In order to find a parking space, they often spend a lot of time, which also causes traffic congestion in the area. In order to solve this dilemma, on the 16th, the traffic police department of Nanning, together with the First Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University, e-driver and other related enterprises, took the lead in piloting the "parking service" paid service in the First Affiliated Hospital of Medical University. Citizens who came to see a doctor can enjoy this service by scanning the code and placing an order. Parking service charges 39 yuan service fee every time, and the parking fee is free for the first two hours, and then charged at 2 yuan per hour. (Nanning Evening News, May 17)

　　Nowadays, there are more and more cars in the city, and it is more and more difficult to park, especially in places like hospitals. The peak hours of queuing for parking often last for several hours. The "parking service" service makes parking easy. You don’t need to find your own parking space at all, and you don’t need to waste time because of parking. You only need an APP and a WeChat applet to get it easily.

　　However, as a new business, it has both advantages and disadvantages. Although the "parking service" using the Internet is simple, many apps not only record the user’s name, gender and age, but also record various information of the user’s vehicle in detail. Once leaked, it will bring opportunities to criminals. Moreover, the situation that netizens are worried about does not rule out: what if the driver directly drives away? If there is a collision or a trivial matter, and the driver has an accident, how should the responsibility be divided?

　　These worries and concerns are not superfluous. Conflicts and disputes caused by "parking service" have occurred from time to time in some places. According to media reports, in 2017, Mr. Luo, the owner of Foshan, drove to Guangzhou Baiyun Airport. Considering that parking at the airport was relatively expensive and inconvenient, he tried to choose an "e-parking" company to let the parking driver choose the surrounding parking lot for himself. Two days later, Mr. Luo came back from a business trip. Unexpectedly, his car "ran" for 400 kilometers for no reason.

　　Although the car service originated from the Internet platform is an innovative model, it is an internal behavior of enterprises and companies. At present, there is no special relevant regulation in China, which is easy to damage the interests of consumers. Therefore, as a new thing, "parking service", both the owner and the service provider need to be cautious. For parking service companies, they should have strict driving experience and driver’s license requirements for parking drivers, and strengthen daily management and supervision. For car owners who try the "parking service" service, they must take the initiative to confirm their certificates, identities, etc. when handing over their vehicles to the parking driver.

　　More importantly, the relevant functional departments should keep pace with the times, face up to the loopholes and potential safety hazards in this emerging industry, and regulate it from the aspects of industry license, qualification examination and change filing on the basis of strengthening self-discipline of merchants. For example, businesses are required to display the driver’s license, certificate of approval and job responsibilities of parking drivers in obvious positions, and how to take responsibility after problems occur, and formulate standardized ways to manage vehicles and keys, and at the same time introduce corresponding laws and regulations for effective supervision. (Fu Biao)