[See you at 8: 00] The hot search list is suspended for one week! Sina Weibo was ordered to rectify immediately.

  CCTV News:At 8 o’clock every day, CCTV will sort out the big and small things that happened around us within 24 hours.

  [Focus]

  ● The website of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs pointed out that Hong Kong separatists must take effective measures to punish them according to law under the banner of inviting US troops to land in Hong Kong.

  ● The Ministry of Education issued a document demanding strict application qualifications for international students and improving policies and regulations for studying in China.

  ● The Civil Aviation Administration will resume some international flights in an orderly manner to meet the requirements of Chinese students and overseas Chinese returning to China.

  ● In May, the national consumer price rose by 2.4% year-on-year, and the price is expected to continue to be stable in the second half of the year.

  ● The National Network Information Office ordered Sina Weibo to rectify immediately, and suspended updating the hot search list of Weibo for one week and the hot topic list for one week, from 15: 00 on June 10th to 15: 00 on the 17th.

  ● Beijing Municipal Center for Disease Control and Prevention: You still need to wear a mask when taking the subway and elevator. You don’t need to wear it outdoors or indoors.

  ● Hubei explores the reform of the disease control system, and the main person in charge of the disease control institution will also serve as a member of the health department.

  According to Hong Kong media, Chen Jiaju, the leader of the "Hong Kong independence" organization, jumped bail in early June and may be hiding in the Netherlands.

  [Overseas epidemic situation]

  ● By 20: 04 on June 10th, Beijing time, there were more than 7.14 million confirmed cases and 408,025 cumulative deaths in COVID-19.

  ● United Nations Development Programme: False epidemic information is harmful, and the international community must join hands to deal with it.

  ● Add another 43.5 billion! In order to relieve the epidemic, France has invested a total of 460 billion euros in enterprises and individuals.

  ● The US media reported that Covid-19, a number of American National Guard soldiers in charge of maintaining order, tested positive.

  ● Recently, there have been frequent collective infections in the South Korean capital circle, and 520 schools have suspended teaching at school.

  [Expo]

  ● The Federal Reserve announced that it will keep the interest rate unchanged at zero, which is expected to last until 2022.

  ● The classic American film Gone with the Wind was taken off the shelves because it preached racism and was suspected of racial discrimination.

  ● Dehmel, Deputy Spokesman of the German Federal Government: We have learned from the US that the US troops stationed in Germany have withdrawal plans.

  ● Brazil’s inflation contraction rate reached 0.38% in May, the worst situation in 22 years.

  ● Palestine plans to establish a "demilitarized Palestinian state" and live in peace with Israel.

  ● Federer’s right knee will be operated again. The 2020 season is over and he is looking forward to returning to the arena at the beginning of the 2021 season.

  [hundred States]

  ● Xicheng, Beijing: The enrollment allocation inquiry system has been restored, and no human factors have been found in the failure.

  ● Wangfujing’s share price soared in May and was questioned for insider trading. The Shanghai Stock Exchange issued a supervision letter.

  ● Jiaozuo Intermediate People’s Court responded to the Xiuwu County judge’s "threat" to the defendant’s family: the judge involved has been suspended.

  ● An accident in Shaanxi Liaoyuan Coal Industry Co., Ltd. caused 7 people to lose contact, and the mining license expired on June 9.

  ● A senior girl in Chengdu University of Technology scratched two students with a knife. Police: There is a contradiction between the suspect and the injured.

  ● Sihong, Jiangsu Province notified some primary school students of abdominal pain and dizziness: As of the afternoon of June 10th, all the students in the outpatient department had returned to school and returned home after follow-up.

  ● The two communities in Shenzhen are only separated by a road. Due to the different school districts, the unit price difference of housing is 80,000.

  ● Gansu female college students were defrauded by electricity for 370,000 yuan just after they got rid of poverty. The police: they are trying their best to trace it.

  ● Professor Zhejiang University of Finance was prevented from helping stray cats and dogs at school and wanted to resign. The school proposed to pay 550,000 liquidated damages.

  Visual sense

  ● At 02: 31 on June 11th, 2020, China used the Long March II C carrier rocket at Taiyuan Satellite Launch Center to successfully put Haiyang-1 D satellite into the scheduled orbit, and the launch was a complete success.

  ● On the 10th, Jinan’s century-old building "Nun Lou" moved to a new foothold by "walking" 76 meters by car.

  [sound]

  "Covid-19 should not be underestimated. It is easier to multiply and spread in the human body. This virus will not suddenly go away. There are many possibilities in the future."

  — — Wang Chen spoke at the seminar "Construction of Long-term Mechanism for Epidemic Prevention and Control in Colleges and Universities under Normalization"

  "Some people say ‘ Make America great again ’ But when was America great? "

  — — Brook Williams, niece of African-American man Freud, said.

  [face]

  Wang Dingguo, the wife of Comrade Xie Juezai and the old Red Army, died of illness at 11: 06 on the 9th at the age of 107.

  During the epidemic, a girl named Liu Gege and her friends drove for more than ten hours and walked into the villages of Biyang, Zhumadian, Henan Province, Luliang, Shanxi Province and xian county, Hebei Province, and delivered small bags of gifts to the children. On the way back from delivering supplies to the children, I was in a car accident and was in a coma for more than 20 days.

  See you at 8 o’clock tomorrow!

  Editor: Qian Jingtong Kang Yanlong

Love, Death and Robots marks the arrival of the era of customized entertainment?

  Still photos of Love, Death and Robots.

  Netflix’s new animated series "Love, Death and Robots" (hereinafter referred to as "Love Crashes") contains sci-fi, fantasy, horror and comedy, which combines the animation forms of 2D and CG short films. The story is short but often unexpected, and the whole series is full of cult temperament, which has quickly gained a large number of adult animation fans. The production team of "Love Crash" has film and television producers and teams from Hollywood, and there are many independent producers. The whimsy of different styles collide with novel sparks in the same drama, which is hard to imagine in mainstream film and television dominated by big studios. Naifei, the publisher of this drama, is an internet media company that has developed rapidly in recent years, and it is reconstructing the future digital entertainment map in its own way.

  Netflix, once a film and television rental company, has made great strides in the field of film and television production and distribution in recent years, and produced and distributed a series of influential works exclusively, including masterpieces such as House of Cards and Oscar-winning film Rome, which greatly challenged and even shook the foundation of the mainstream film and television industry. Behind this expansion momentum, the first is Netflix’s high investment. The company’s latest financial report shows that in 2018, the content expenditure exceeded the $10 billion mark for the first time, reaching an astonishing $12 billion. Netflix not only dares to buy drama series, but also provides advance payment for upstream film and television producers, covering all the film and television projects. Nowadays, Internet film and television is a competitive market, and a new Internet film and television giant like Amazon threatens Netflix at any time. Therefore, it has become Netflix’s strategy to acquire film and television resources and market share on a large scale through high investment.

  Still photos of Love, Death and Robots.

  Secondly, compared with traditional studios, Netflix respects professionalism and encourages creative freedom, and does not directly interfere with content production, thus giving filmmakers and partner companies more free expression space. Netflix has increasingly become a platform-based company that directly connects film producers and audiences, so much so that kevinspacey fowler, who starred in House of Cards, once lamented that Netflix wanted to "go directly from script to DVD". Netflix also tends to cooperate with independent filmmakers, fully explore Hollywood resources, and make high-quality products with more easily available resources. The most unique feature of Netflix lies in its big data operation mode, which analyzes big data through the user data of the streaming media platform, such as what content is the most popular, and then takes it as the decision-making basis for production and accurate sales. The result of this content production method is that the user’s taste determines the final product. There is every reason to believe that Netflix will test the audience popularity of various artistic expressions in Love Crash, or that the setting of 15 minutes per episode is also the best result obtained by Netflix through big data? If you ask who will know the audience’s taste best in the future, it may be a digital distribution platform like Netflix, which can master the detailed portraits of the audience. It is these characteristics of Netflix that make the content style diverse, and the novel "Love Crash" is possible.

  Still photos of Love, Death and Robots.

  From the content to the form, we can see that "Love Crashes" tries to show the face of a new digital entertainment industry, and it is Netflix’s ambition to build the industrial chain of this new entertainment industry. In terms of content, the title of the whole work "Love, Death and Robots" has already told us about the most fundamental problems of human beings and Cyberpunk. The core of most dramas is inseparable from sexual pornography, death violence and subversion of robots. This way of catching fans’ eyes is in the same strain as the entertainment industry in the past, and its style inspiration comes directly from the magazine Heavy Metal and its adaptation of the same name, which is also a collection of animated films full of sex and violence. Similar to "Heavy Metal", the drama presents the classic fantasy novel text and different visual forms to the audience, so that the audience will not get bored in the pleasure of watching movies. Some critics say that the core of the play is covered up by sensory stimulation, especially in the current situation that the American literary and art circle is left-sided, the materialized content of women in the play will inevitably lead to controversy. However, the producer’s cleverness lies in that it accurately grasps the audience’s entertainment "highlights", at the same time, it compresses the huge original text information into a short space adapted to the Internet era, presents the essence of the classic text, and allows the audience to enjoy the fun of self-exploration of the text content.

  Formally, we can see that what Netflix is trying to create is a new film and television experience that allows the audience to participate.

  Symbols of the title of Love, Death and Robots.

  The logo of "Love, Death and Robot" is made into a visual symbol logo similar to a gambling machine, which has a high degree of symbol recognition. If you look closely at the title of each episode, you can see that the symbol of the title of "Love, Death and Robots" will also change with the content of each episode. For example, the first episode is the heart and fork representing "love and death" plus a snake totem representing the protagonist’s team. In the second episode, it becomes two robots plus a hamburger representing robot cognition. In the third episode, the symbol is a snake biting its tail, a prostitute’s head wearing a gel coat and an eye implying a witness. These symbols not only echo the plot, but also give the audience the illusion of free and random choice. In theory, the audience can really enter the world of Love Crash from any episode.

  Netflix obviously thinks that the viewing order will also affect the audience’s experience, so he provides four different playing orders for the audience, saying that it is only for A/B detection, and does not involve user big data and machine learning prediction. Lucas Thomes, the founder of Out in Tech, an LGBT organization, is worried that this kind of broadcast form will play stories involving homosexual content first for the same-sex audience and heterosexual content first for the opposite-sex audience, in order to obtain higher user satisfaction and subscriptions. Once this form is combined with technical means such as machine learning, it is conceivable that the identity of the audience will solidify its viewing experience, and the so-called free experience will exist in name only.

  Still photos of Love, Death and Robots.

  In another drama series "Black Mirror: Pandasnaki" produced by Netflix, the audience can choose the protagonist in the film, thus affecting the development of the plot and even interacting with the characters in the play. Just like the random freedom of Love Crash, the audience can enter from any plot, and different choices will bring different endings. However, all the plots can happen cyclically, so that the audience can experience their own personalized world in their own choices. Coincidentally, an entertainment giant like Sony also launched a interactive movie game like Detroit: Transformers, where players can explore the plot by choosing characters on their own console platform. If interactive movie is essentially an upgraded version of interactive games in the past, what Netflix should do is to be an interactive game platform provider in the Internet era, and bring interactive entertainment into the digital era with the help of its movie copyright and big data technology. Maybe in the near future, we will see a sequel to Love Crash that can choose the plot.

  With the development of digital Internet, it is expected that the movie and television entertainment industry will further develop rapidly in terms of big data customization in content and free choice in watching movies, which will also lead to profound changes and reconstruction in the entire entertainment industry. Love Crash represents such a trend, that is, the arrival of the era of entertainment customization. With the increasingly accurate operation of big data, the audience will be directly connected with the mainstream film and television industry, and everyone can get a customized version of film and television entertainment. At the same time, the digital platform will also gather freelancers to make the collective creation of film and television works more efficient and convenient. More importantly, the improvement of the audience’s choice in the works also liberates the expressive ability of film and television works. Different interpretations brought by different plots will make the works more open and generate more audience feedback, so as to further improve the works.

  Still photos of Love, Death and Robots.

  There are also some worrying social problems in this emerging entertainment mode. In addition to the privacy and even identity discrimination that big data operation may bring, more importantly, it is likely to aggravate the tribalization tendency of today’s society. Social media such as Facebook has brought about the "tribalization" of users’ personal socialization, which has led many users to only see the opinions of people in their own groups, thus strengthening the division of American society. Customized entertainment products and big data marketing will naturally aggravate this situation in the cultural industry, and the audience’s own sense of identity and belonging will continue to be strengthened and even completely solidified, making the threat of cultural war go deep into the literary and art circles. These problems need to be corrected and avoided by the entertainment industry, but examples like Facebook tell us that it is often just wishful thinking to expect Internet giants to come from me.

Looking at the vitality of beauty care in 2024 from the "exit" brand

Entering 2024, the transcripts handed over by the beauty care industry are remarkable, and the beauty care of domestic products is even more eye-catching.

According to Qingyan Intelligence, in 2023, domestic products accounted for the most, accounting for more than half (50.4%).

The growth rate of domestic cosmetics sales was also the highest, with a year-on-year increase of 21.1%, while Japanese and Korean brands decreased by 17% and 26.1% respectively.

On the one hand, domestic beauty products such as Polaiya and Winona are popular, and on the other hand, some beauty care brands suddenly leave.

For example, Revlon, an old brand in Europe and America, won the make-up hegemony of 200 million sales in 1998, but it could not escape the fate of being eliminated and withdrew from the China market for the second time; South Korea’s online celebrity makeup brand BBIA was once a hit in the "golden age" of Korean makeup, but now it has stopped operating Tmall’s overseas flagship store.

DT Business Watch wants to use this as an incision to study three issues through data:

Why do these beauty care brands "exit" one after another?

What did those brands that grew against the trend do right?

With the change of consumer demand and concept, what should beauty care brands rely on to compete for incremental market in the future?

In 2023, the beauty care brand "exited in a large area"

According to incomplete statistics, in 2023, nearly 30 brands closed the official flagship store of the power outage platform, adjusted their business in China, or directly announced the brand clearance and closed down.

To further distinguish between international brands and domestic brands, "exit" brands mainly have the following four characteristics.

First of all, "online celebrity Makeup", which is hot in the world, is not as prosperous as expected in China.

For example, Japanese online celebrity brand CEZANNE Qian Shili, Korean online celebrity BBIA, American online celebrity e.l.f, United Arab Emirates online celebrity Huda Beauty … They are all quite popular brands in various countries, but their domestic discussion and sales are far from "online celebrity".

In particular, Japanese and Korean cosmetics, which have performed poorly since the epidemic, have shut down Tmall’s overseas flagship stores.

Secondly, the popularity of pure beauty care in China has arrived, but the international natural organic and pure beauty care brands are "silent".

According to the data disclosed by Tmall International in 2023, the new brand turnover of Clean Beauty category increased by 236% year-on-year.

In the little red book, Clean Beauty is also a concept of makeup and skin care that has attracted much attention. With the advantages of "good color matching", "multi-use lipstick, blush and eye shadow" and "comfortable texture", the multi-purpose cream of RED CHAMBER Zhu Zhan, a domestic pure care makeup brand, has won many people’s wallets.

International brands are a little lonely. Naturaglace, American Pure Skin Care FAB and Athr Beauty, the earliest natural and organic beauty brands developed in Japan, are all famous in China.

In addition, the international high-end beauty instrument, lost to domestic cutting-edge brands.

As one of the high-end beauty instrument brands, OPTE was originally known as the "beauty artifact", focusing on the function of shading and lightening spots. The price was more than 4,000 yuan, but the official flagship store of Tmall was shut down after four years.

In contrast, double 11 Shimeguang, Jimeng and other domestic brands are threatening, capturing many consumers with an average price of about 2,000 yuan and high cost-effective gifts, and winning the TOP 10 in the sales list of beauty instruments of major e-commerce platforms.

Look at the brands that have fallen on the domestic side. More than 60% are makeup brands, and most of them areFair price cosmetics.

Relatively well-known makeup brands such as Buqi, Kale Shuo, and Joy in it were mostly established in 2018-2020, when domestic makeup brands such as Hua Xizi and Perfect Diary rose, featuring cheap eye shadow and lipstick.

They used to ride the wind, but now they have suffered a big reshuffle in the market.

Why do these brands "exit"?

Further analysis of the reasons for the "exit" of the above brands will reveal thatTheir problems mainly focus on product and marketing, that is, the internal strength and external strength of the brand.

The problem of internal strength is easy to understand, that is, the research and development of formula and efficacy does not match the needs of consumers.

The evaluation of American pure skin care FAB in Little Red Book is mixed. Some consumers complained that "the skin care effect is ok", but "there is a strange smell that has not been used much" and "I really can’t stand it after washing."

China’s beauty care market, which is full of brands, never lacks competitors. If you don’t keep up with the needs of consumers, you will directly enter the blacklist.

However,It is not enough to cultivate internal strength, but also to pay attention to external strength, otherwise good products may "die" in obscurity.

Even internationally renowned brands will be "unaccustomed" if they do not attach importance to localized marketing.

Take Huda Beauty, a hot overseas beauty brand, as an example. Its overseas official account has 50 million fans. Since 2020, it has won the top spot of the most popular brand of Cosmetify, a British beauty retail platform, for three years in a row, but it has almost completely left China within three years.

In sharp contrast, Huda Beauty’s dilemma in China may be more than the official explanation of "stopping cooperation with the operator".

We checked the operation of Huda Beauty on various platforms and found that its only direct channel in China is Tmall’s overseas flagship store, which has been closed. Although the official account of Xiaohongshu was established, it stopped updating at the end of 2021, and now the homepage has even been emptied, resulting in some domestic consumers lacking channels to understand products and brands.

Dig deeper,In the final analysis, these brands’ blunders in product and marketing are because consumers have changed.

First of all,When choosing products, consumers pay more attention to their real needs.

The most intuitive example is that consumers know their skin state better than before and pay more attention to the experience.

As mentioned above, users of TUO pure skin care brand FAB not only pay attention to the skin care effect, but also pay attention to whether it will be slippery and smell good when used.

Secondly,In the decision-making process, consumers believe in the real sharing of ordinary people and are more willing to share their own consumption experiences and feelings.

It is worth mentioning that,Many potential consumer demands are stimulated by the communication between ordinary users. They may be inspired by scene-based content, or they may be inspired by fashion trends.

For example, the gray style in autumn and winter became popular at first because of the delicate and low-key gray style, and then extended to makeup, which made many consumers have a demand for buying and using makeup products such as cold and low-saturated bean paste color, gray eye shadow tray and lipstick, and issued a feeling similar to "I didn’t expect it to be like this."

So,When brands do product research and development, they should dig deep into the needs of consumers, develop products according to their needs, and solve the pain points of consumers.

To do grass marketing, we should also be close to consumers and accurately cover the consumption decision-making field of target users.

How do those brands that grow against the trend do it?

I understand everything, but where should I start? We can refer to those beauty care brands that still occupy a place in the fierce market killing.

According to the GMV rankings of different categories of e-commerce platforms, among the "top students" in 2023, international brands include L ‘Oreal, Lancome, Hailan Mystery, etc., while domestic products are represented by skin care brands Polaiya, Yangshengtang and Beauty Instrument Miguang.

Referring to Little Red Book’s 2023 Selected Case Manual 24 Beauty Case, we found that some new domestic brands also emerged. For example, the skin care brand East Beast and pure make-up RED CHAMBER have gained a lot of achievements and popularity.

Looking back at the actions of these brands in the past year, we find that they have one thing in common-

Not only do we optimize iterative products closely following the changes of consumer demand, but we also "tailor-made" the marketing plan of planting grass in Xiaohongshu.

For example, the winter pregnancy essence of the domestic skin care brand Yangshengtang was actually launched as early as 2022, and it was not until 2023 that it was circled in a large area on Xiaohongshu, realizing a comprehensive leap in the business inside and outside the station and becoming a veritable explosion.

Word of mouth and sales are rising against the trend. How is this done? We carefully disassembled it from two stages: cognition and transformation.

First of all, according to the search of the key categories of Xiaohongshu skin care, Yangshengtang selected the sub-category of secondary polishing essence, launched the secondary polishing essence with independent packaging, and focused on this niche but explosive track.

Secondly, Xiaohongshu teamed up with authoritative media Xinhua News Agency and four powerful domestic beauty brands including Yangshengtang to jointly create Xiaohongshu’s S+ IP "Treasure Components in China".

The brand not only traces the source of natural birch juice, the key component of winter pregnancy essence "waterless skin care", to consumers through on-the-spot shooting; Also actively collected a lot of consumer feedback, so that the brand spokesperson personally responded.

We call this way of planting grass "authority+sincerity", which has two advantages.

On the one hand, when consumers are moving closer to the "component party" and "formula party", the confident Yangshengtang generously displays its scientific research technology and achievements-sincerely superposing its strength is the biggest killer skill.

On the other hand, brands take the initiative to face the sharp doubts of consumers, which is conducive to narrowing the distance between consumers and brands. Brands can also create products that are more suitable for consumers based on these real feedbacks, and continue to grow under the witness of consumers.

of course,Planting grass is only a preliminary impression in consumers’ minds, and how to change from planting grass is more crucial.

In fact, the outbreak of the sales of the essence of winter pregnancy in Yangshengtang did not soar, but was divided into a "transformation trilogy", step by step.

In the initial starting stage, pay attention to "accurate touch".

Out of the awareness of the product characteristics of Yangshengtang Winter Pregnancy Essence and the high customer unit price (339 yuan /7 pieces, 1309 yuan /28 pieces), the buyers selected by the brand are mainly professional and vertical skin care, and the goods are delivered live through the head, waist and tail buyer matrix to accurately reach the core target population.

Moreover, different buyers can cover different audiences. Fans like head buyers @ Sweet Dog @ and @ Little Dianer kini are mainly young people who streamline skin care, while waist buyers @Lingling and @ Cat Dada’s effective skin care cover luxury beauty and exquisite middle class over 30 years old.

At this stage, the transaction field of Yangshengtang in Xiaohong Bookstore is concentrated on the live broadcast of buyers, and the overall GMV quantity is rapid, and the GMV of winter pregnancy essence accounts for more than half, which has a big improvement.

In the second stage, Xiaohongshu began to help Yangshengtang and the stars join hands to "build tall buildings", initially creating a closed loop of "planting grass-transforming" in Xiaohong Bookstore.

First, Angel, the star buyer of Xiaohongshu, visited the Yangshengtang laboratory to endorse and expand the volume; The second is to bring goods through live broadcast, store broadcast and business notes, and open up different channels for bringing goods.

The effect of this is indeed remarkable.

Many ordinary consumers began to spontaneously share screenshots of their purchases of Yangshengtang’s winter pregnancy essence in Xiaohongshu, and some people specially sent notes to ask "Is it good or not?" They exchanged experience and purchase experience with other consumers in the comment area, which vividly reflected the community atmosphere of Xiaohongshu’s mutual assistance.

This community atmosphere of mutual assistance has made Xiaohongshu the main position for consumers to plant grass, and it has also become a business transaction field after consumers make consumption decisions.

At this stage, the overall GMV of Yangshengtang has tripled in a single month, and the proportion of GMV of the new winter pregnancy essence has increased to 75%, making it an ace item. The transaction channels of sales have also become diversified and rich. In addition to the live broadcast of buyers, the proportion of sales of commercial notes and store broadcasts has increased.

After the first two stages of operation, the winter pregnancy essence of Yangshengtang has basically locked in the vertical crowd in Xiaohongshu, and has the first batch of tap water users who share and support the brand, and the word of mouth has begun to spread outward.

The next step is to continue to exert different delivery channels to comprehensively improve the conversion efficiency.

At this stage, the buyer’s live broadcast matrix and brand store broadcast operations continue to upgrade, with 80% of the head and waist buyers with live broadcasts, and the number of live broadcasts has also increased six times compared with before; The official store broadcasts daily, with a daily broadcast of 9 hours; Enterprise numbers and brand partners also join the ranks of releasing product notes, and rely on high-quality content output to drive consumers to place orders.

Among them,High-quality live broadcast by buyers can enlarge the scale of their own live broadcast GMV by skin care products with high customer unit price, or feed back the brand store broadcast, and precipitate the crowd assets into the private domain of brands, forming a win-win situation.

At this point, Yangshengtang was "fully blossoming" in Xiaohong Bookstore. The overall GMV has increased by 12 times in a single month compared with the initial one; In addition to the new winter pregnancy essence, the GMV ratio of another single-product black gold limited gift box (899 yuan /18 pieces) also reached 35%.

It can be said,The popularity of Yangshengtang’s winter pregnancy essence in Xiaohongshu is by no means a random explosion of luck.

Instead, we rely on product strength, big data of Xiaohongshu, and self-closed-loop marketing strategy for buyer’s economy and self-broadcasting ecology to enlarge the advantages of brands and products step by step, so as to realize efficient transformation in Xiaohongshu and other consumption channels.

Write it at the end

Judging from those brands that "quit" and grow against the trend,The new battlefield of beauty care has been transferred to the little red book.

Turning to the 24 Beauty Case at the Little Red Book WILL Business Conference, we will find that,In addition to the essence of Yangshengtang’s winter pregnancy, there are many products in different product life cycles, which have been successfully circled and broken in Xiaohongshu.

Roye, a care brand, will continue to expand its product portfolio to match different fashion trends according to the trend of "dandruff removal" and high-end care consumption in Xiaohongshu, and eventually the GMV of the whole network will increase by 50%.

With the help of the IP of "Treasure Components in China", the essence of Nature Hall Little Purple Bottle promotes the ace component Himeyne, anchoring the component party to carry out KFS targeted crowd expansion;

AFU11 seed essential oil multiplied by the east wind of "nourishing skin with oil", and cooperated with star buyers to realize the closed-loop live broadcast of grass planting-transformation, reaching one million GMV.

As Mr. philip kotler, the father of modern marketing, mentioned in the latest editions of Marketing Management and H2H Marketing,We should conform to the communication mode of "people influence people" and return to the understanding and attention to people and consumers’ needs.

From the platform perspective of Xiaohongshu, today’s consumers are more active, and are more willing to actively discuss, repurchase and recommend their favorite products.

Including actively asking questions, collecting information → actively repurchasing → actively sharing and recommending to others, actively interacting with brands and even giving feedback, suggestions and demands.

Therefore,For brands, in addition to blindly rolling in low prices, discounts and concessions, we can also make good use of the sharp edge of Xiaohongshu to stimulate consumers’ initiative and find the vitality of brand breaking.

No matter whether the consumer’s feedback is good or bad, the brand can listen humbly first, then change it if there is, and encourage if there is no feedback.

Author: Zheng Xiaohui Design: Qi Tonghui

Operation camp: Su Hongrui Supervision system: Li Jingyu

Down! Snow! La! It snows in many places in Henan. Did it snow there?

The wind blows down the yellow leaves
It’s snowing.
The cold wave arrived in beginning of winter.
Get up this morning
I believe many people
Everyone felt the sudden drop in temperature
Many places are shivering under the covers.
today’sBeginning of winter solar termsIt is also very appropriate.
A powerful all-round cold wave
Is sweeping across the north and south of our country
Rain and snow appear in many places
From 20: 00 on November 6 to 6: 00 on November 7, rain turned to sleet in Zhengzhou, and snow appeared in Gongyi, Dengfeng and Xinmi in the west.
At 18: 00 on the 6 th, the Central Meteorological Observatory upgraded and released it.
The first orange warning of blizzard this year
Forecast Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei and Jilin, LiaoningHenan(Province)Shandong(Province)
Equal placeAs big as blizzard.
As soon as the news came out
Netizens expect the value to be full.
↓↓
This beginning of winter is a bit beautiful. The first snow in the second half of the year has arrived. Did you "sign for it"?
Early in the morning,The circle of friends was awakened by the snow.. It is not surprising that the cold wave brings cold wind, cold rain and "dark wind blows rain into the cold window", but the rain turned into snow in the middle of the night, which surprised many people. Zhongmou county’s circle of friends has been "captured" by videos and pictures of snowflakes flying.
It snows in Henan and it snows in Zhengzhou.Snow came in droves, and the background was yellow and red leaves, which looked strange and strange.
So, where did it snow in Henan last night and this morning? According to the monitoring of Henan Meteorological Observatory,From 6 o’clock yesterday to 6 o’clock today, there was little to moderate rain or sleet and light snow in most parts of the province, including heavy rain in parts of Puyang and Shangqiu, with the maximum precipitation of 47.3 mm in front of the stage. At present, there is snowfall in Sanmenxia, Luoyang, Pingdingshan and Puyang, in the west of Xinxiang and Zhengzhou, and in the east of Anyang, Hebi, Xuchang, Zhoukou and Shangqiu. There is 1 ~ 2 cm of snow in Lushi and Mianchi of Sanmenxia.
There is also obvious snowfall in the western mountainous area of Zhengzhou and Zhongmou in the east. It’s just that the ground temperature in the western mountainous area is low, and there is snow, while the ground temperature in Zhongmou is high, and the snow melts when it touches the ground. One piece, two pieces, three or four pieces, flying into the yellow leaves are all gone.
Today, the beginning of winter solar term is coming. So, can we say,This is the first snow since winter?Dahe Daily reporter learned that beginning of winter season. Everything has entered a state of recuperation and collection, and the climate has gradually changed from dry autumn to rainy and cold winter.
However, due to the heat and energy stored on the surface, it is generally not very cold in early winter. As time goes by, cold air activities become more frequent, and the downward trend of temperature will gradually accelerate. However, it is not winter in beginning of winter. According to the average temperature method, the winter begins when the average temperature (the average temperature for five consecutive days) drops below 10℃ and ends when the average temperature is above 10℃.According to the trend of temperature change in Henan in the future, Henan does not have the conditions for winter yet.
Come and enjoy it.
Zhengzhou, Xuchang, Sanmenxia and other places in Henan Province
The first snow since winter.
Fuxi Mountain in Xinmi
Luohe
It’s not just rain and snow
And strong winds.
Affected by strong winds, the suburban line of Zhengzhou Metro (Shilihe Station ~ Xinzheng Airport railway station) was suspended.
Warm reminder:On November 7, Dahe Daily reporter learned from Zhengzhou Metro Group Operation Branch that due to windy weather,From 6: 00 on November 7th, the suburban line of Zhengzhou Metro (Shilihe Station to Xinzheng Airport railway station) was suspended.
Passengers with relevant travel plans are advised to take other means of transportation, which will bring you inconvenience. Please understand that Zhengzhou Metro will issue a notice as soon as it resumes operation. Thank you again for your understanding and support. (Dahe Daily reporter Tian Yuchen)
How windy is Zhengzhou? Just look at these fallen trees.
On the morning of November 7th, due to the bad weather of strong wind and precipitation, trees on the west side of 100m road south at the intersection of nanyang road and huanghe road in Zhengzhou City toppled, occupying the northbound and southbound lane of Nanyang Road, and passing vehicles had to pass along the east half of Nanyang Road.
Zhengzhou issued a yellow warning for strong winds.
Zhengzhou Meteorological Observatory continued to issue the yellow warning signal of gale at 06: 20 on November 7, 2021: It is estimated that in the next 12 hours,Zhengzhou City, Gongyi, Xingyang, Dengfeng, Xinmi, Xinzheng, Zhongmu, and Airport AreaWill appearThe northwest wind is about 8, and the local gust is 9 to 10.. Please take precautions.
In the next few days?
What is the weather like in Henan?
Cold wave+strong wind+cooling is coming to Henan, please take precautions!
During the day today, there is light rain or sleet in most parts of the province, including small to medium snow and partial snowstorms in the north of the Yellow River and Sanmenxia and Luoyang areas, and in the west of Zhengzhou, Xuchang and Pingdingshan areas and parts in the north of Nanyang area.
The rain and snow stopped tonight.
The northwest wind in the province is about 6, the gust is 8~9, and the local gust in the central and western regions is about 10.
Affected by strong cold air, the temperature in the whole province has dropped significantly since November 8, and the minimum temperature in many places will drop to below zero. Compared with the previous period, the minimum temperature dropped by 10℃~12℃, and the local drop reached 14℃~16℃.
Strong winds, rain, snow and cold waves hit.
What defensive preparations should we make?
Xiaobian all-round, no dead ends
I made this handbook for everyone to defend against the cold wave.
Put it away quickly, it is recommended to forward it immediately!
Expert reminder
The cold wave struck,Old people and children should pay special attention to keep warm.Increase clothes in time to guard against catching a cold.
In cold weather, you shouldAppropriate reduction of outdoor activities, especially for the elderly with lung diseases, cardiovascular diseases and osteoarthritis, is easy to induce diseases after cold.
There is a risk that COVID-19 will overlap with respiratory diseases such as influenza this winter, so the public needs to pay special attention to infectious diseases such as influenza. Adhere to wearing a mask in daily travel and closely protect yourself. Teenagers and children, in particular, are susceptible to influenza, so protective measures should be taken in daily life to effectively reduce the infection and spread of influenza.Wash your hands frequently and try to avoid touching your eyes, nose and mouth.
Once students have flu symptoms, they should observe them in isolation at home and attend classes without illness to reduce the spread of the disease.
1. In case of bad weather like freezing rain and snow,Keep abreast of road conditions,Make a reasonable travel plan;
2. In the case of poor sight,Turn on the front and rear lights, fog lights, etc. If the window glass fogs, the air conditioner can be turned on to defog mode or cold air can be turned on to remove it quickly, and when the rain is not heavy, the window can be opened for convective defogging;
3. Driving is mainly gentle.Try braking distance and braking feeling on roads with few cars;When braking, the brake is the main point, and the manual transmission vehicle can slow down by downshifting;
4. In case of vehicle sideslip, the correct operation mode is to control the steering wheel to effectively avoid tail flick or in-situ U-turn. Lightly tap the steering wheel along the side-slip direction, and then lightly brake to slow down until the vehicle is completely controlled;
5. In case of accident or failure,Set up warning signs 50 meters away from the direction of coming cars, turn on the double flashing warning lights, and move the cars to the side of the road quickly if conditions permit.Does not affect the passage of other vehicles;
6. When you go out, you might as well try the slippery degree of the road first. Please turn on the radio when you are driving.Adjust to the traffic station and listen to the traffic broadcast in time. If the traffic situation is very bad, you might as well stop at the right place and choose other ways to travel.
Strengthen the management of facilities and greenhouses. This time, the strong cold air has a strong wind and a large cooling range. Please repair and reinforce it in advance, and strengthen inspections during the period to prevent damage caused by excessive wind. Uncovered strawberries and other crops that are not cold-tolerant, pay close attention to film mulching to prevent damage caused by rapid cooling. Fruit trees with more hanging fruits and shallow root fruit trees should be reinforced in advance, and the fruits entering the harvest period should be picked in time.
Keep warm in aquaculture. This cold air process has greatly reduced the temperature, so aquaculture should strengthen oxygen enrichment and water quality and water level management.
Although the snow scene is beautiful
But be sure to add clothes to keep warm when you go out.
Beware of colds and spend the winter happily.
Source: Dahe. com Comprehensive Eye Encounter Dahe, Henan Daily, Dahe Daily, Henan Meteorological, Zhengzhou Meteorological People’s Daily and other copyrights belong to the original author. If there is any infringement, please contact and delete them.
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315, talk about the rights and interests of lottery consumers

Original Jasen Public Welfare Times Zhonghua Caixun

World Consumer Rights Day

It’s another year of International Consumer Rights Day. Without any accident, today’s hot search seat has been booked by CCTV 315 party.

Every year 315, there is a hot search every year! What are you concerned about this year?

This morning, the circle of friends in the industry was screened by the article "3 15 | China Welfare Lottery, Responsibility First, Integrity First". As the article said, in the lottery industry, lottery players are both practitioners of public welfare and consumers. Then let’s talk about the rights and interests of lottery consumers!

As we all know, consumers’ rights and interests refer to the rights and interests that consumers enjoy in accordance with the law when they receive goods or services for compensation, and in a certain period of time. It is a right given to the end users of goods to meet the objective needs of economic operation under certain social and economic relations. As early as the early 1960s, the International Consumers’ Union had determined that consumers had nine basic rights, such as the right to security, the right to know the truth, the right to choose independently, the right to fair trade, and the right to supervise and criticize. China’s Consumer Protection Law also affirmed these rights of consumers.

Then, in the lottery industry, how are the lottery consumers’ rights and interests reflected in the lottery related laws and regulations?

1. Right to security: refers to the right of consumers to protect their personal and property safety from damage when purchasing or using commodities or receiving services.

There is no doubt about this. Lottery players, whether buying lottery tickets or accepting redemption services, have the right to protect their personal and property safety.

In order to protect the personal and property safety of lottery winners, Article 27 of the Regulations on Lottery Management stipulates that lottery issuers, lottery sales organizations, lottery agents and other personnel who know the personal information of lottery winners due to their positions or business convenience shall keep the personal information of lottery winners confidential; Article 43 of the Detailed Rules for the Implementation of the Regulations on Lottery Management also stipulates that lottery issuers, lottery sales organizations, lottery agents and their staff members shall not ask lottery winners to donate winning prizes for any reason and in any way against their own wishes.

Therefore, if you encounter personal and property safety damage when buying lottery tickets, it may be a "black shop", please call the police immediately.

2. Right to know the truth: it is the right of consumers to know the real situation of the goods they buy or use or the services they receive.

Lottery issuance aims at public welfare, and lottery buyers are doing public welfare. Therefore, lottery players’ right to know has always been a right stipulated in lottery laws and regulations. With the expansion of lottery issuance and sales scale and the lottery public welfare fund playing an increasingly important role in social welfare and public welfare undertakings, the implementation of lottery players’ right to know has attracted more and more attention.

There are many provisions on lottery consumers’ right to know the truth in the Regulations on Lottery Management. For example, Article 11 stipulates that if the lottery varieties are approved to be opened or stopped or the examination and approval items of lottery varieties are changed, the lottery issuing institution shall announce the relevant information to the public 10 natural days before the opening, change and suspension. Article 24 stipulates that lottery issuing institutions and lottery sales institutions shall, after the sales of each lottery, announce the sales of the current lottery and the lottery results to the public in a timely manner. Article 36 stipulates that the management and use units of lottery public welfare funds shall be subject to the supervision of financial departments, audit institutions and the public according to law; Units that manage and use lottery public welfare funds shall announce the use of public welfare funds to the public every year. Article 37 stipulates that the financial departments of the State Council and the people’s governments of provinces, autonomous regions and municipalities directly under the Central Government shall report to the people’s governments at the corresponding levels on the collection, distribution and use of lottery public welfare funds in the previous year, and make an announcement to the public.

The detailed rules for the implementation of the lottery management regulations have refined these regulations. For example, Article 31 stipulates that lottery issuers and lottery sales organizations shall announce to the public the sales volume, winning amount, prize pool fund balance and adjustment fund balance of each lottery variety in the previous year before May 31 each year. Article 39 stipulates that lottery issuing agencies and lottery sales agencies shall timely, accurately and completely announce the lottery sales and lottery draws in the current period to the public, including: (1) the name of the lottery game, the date or issue number of the lottery; (two) the current lottery sales amount; (3) The lottery results of the current period; (four) the balance of the prize pool funds; (5) the redemption period.

The right to know the truth is not only an urgent right for lottery consumers, but also a right for the public to the lottery industry.

3. Independent choice: consumers have the right to choose their own goods or services.

In China, lottery sales adhere to the principle of voluntary purchase by lottery players. When buying lottery tickets, lottery players have the right to choose which games to bet on and which games not to bet on, and they can also refuse the bundled sales and forced buying and selling of lottery agents.

Article 2 of the Regulations on Lottery Management clearly stipulates that the lottery mentioned in this Regulation refers to the certificate that the state issues and sells according to law in order to raise social welfare funds and promote the development of social welfare undertakings, and natural persons purchase it voluntarily and get the chance to win the prize according to specific rules. At the same time, Article 18 also stipulates that lottery issuers, lottery sales agencies and lottery agents shall not make false or misleading propaganda, and shall not engage in unfair competition by means of slandering peers.

4. Fair trade right: refers to the right of consumers to obtain fair trade such as quality assurance, reasonable price and correct measurement when purchasing goods or receiving services.

Article 4 of the Regulations on Lottery Management clearly stipulates that the issuance, sale and drawing of lottery tickets shall follow the principles of openness, fairness, impartiality, honesty and credibility.

As we all know, the sales price of lottery tickets is clearly stipulated. The computer ticket game 2 yuan pays a note, that is, the invoice has different face values, which is also a "clearly marked price". In order to ensure the fair trading rights of lottery players, lottery distribution and sales organizations have also stipulated that lottery agents shall not change or change the denomination of lottery tickets in disguise.

At the same time, lottery agents must provide lottery players with legal and compliant lottery tickets, that is, welfare lottery tickets and sports lottery tickets licensed by the State Council. Article 38 of the Regulations on Lottery Management stipulates that anyone who, in violation of these regulations, issues or sells lottery tickets without authorization, or issues or sells overseas lottery tickets in People’s Republic of China (PRC) constitutes a crime, shall be investigated for criminal responsibility according to law; If it does not constitute a crime, the public security organ shall impose administrative penalties on public security according to law; If there are illegal gains, the illegal gains shall be confiscated.

5. Right of supervision and criticism: refers to the right enjoyed by consumers to supervise goods and services and the protection of consumers’ rights and interests.

The right of supervision and criticism is also a right of lottery consumers, and the implementation of this right has a great relationship with the implementation of lottery players’ right to know. For example, Article 20 of the Regulations on Lottery Management stipulates that lottery issuing institutions and lottery sales institutions shall promptly announce the lottery issuance and sales to the public and accept the supervision of the public.

In addition, lottery sellers also enjoy the right to win the prize, that is, within the validity period of the prize, the lottery winners will win the prize with the winning lottery ticket and ID card, and the relevant sites and lottery agencies may not refuse to win the prize.

Article 25 of the Regulations on the Management of Lottery stipulates that the lottery winner shall present the winning lottery ticket to the designated place for redemption within 60 natural days from the date of drawing the lottery. If the rules of lottery varieties stipulate that it is necessary to show his identity document, he shall also show his identity document.

Original title: "315, Talk about the rights and interests of lottery consumers"

Looking back on the first anniversary: how did the escalation of the Ukrainian crisis change the world?

  On February 24, 2022, local time, in Kharkov, Ukraine, black smoke rose from a military airport in Chuguyev near Kharkov. Russian President Vladimir Putin announced military action against Ukraine on February 24, 2022, and then explosions were heard all over the country. Vision china diagram

  On February 24, 2022, the Ukrainian crisis suddenly escalated. Looking back on this year, people deeply feel the impact of this crisis on the world.

  Over the past year, what has changed is not only the jagged confrontation front, but also NATO’s aid to Ukraine from protective helmets to main battle tanks, and the increasing number of casualties every day, as well as the European economy that is constantly losing blood, the doubled electricity and flour bills of Hungarian bakeries, and the high feed price faced by Tunisian farmers … … This "the largest military conflict in Europe since the 21st century" has brought severe global security challenges, drastic geopolitical changes and extensive economic and social impacts, far exceeding expectations.

  Over the past year, more and more people of insight in the world have realized that the United States is clinging to unilateralism, hegemonism and the Cold War mentality, playing geopolitical games under the banner of ideology, and its various bad actions are fundamentally shaking world peace and stability. When the world is in turmoil and intertwined, only by adhering to peace, development, cooperation and win-win, replacing division with unity, confrontation with cooperation and exclusion with tolerance, is the correct way for human society to overcome the difficulties together.

  On March 3, 2022, in Kiev, the capital of Ukraine, children looked out of the window on a train bound for Lviv. Vision china diagram

  The security situation is even more severe.

  Artillery, tanks, drones, smoke, ruins, refugees … … Similar images are scrolled on TV and social media almost every day, telling the world that the intensity of this conflict has not diminished with the passage of time. On the contrary, the western countries led by the United States are trying their best to defeat Russia, and the global security situation is facing the risk of spiral deterioration.

  Under the leadership of the United States, NATO continued to send weapons and equipment to Ukraine, providing personnel training and intelligence support, which constantly fueled the crisis. Since the Biden administration came to power, the total amount of military assistance promised by the United States to Ukraine has reached $30 billion. From the initial provision of non-lethal military equipment such as helmets to the provision of lethal weapons such as individual anti-tank missiles, to the provision of heavy weapons such as armored vehicles and self-propelled artillery, recently, it promised to provide main battle tanks and began to discuss the provision of offensive weapons such as fighter jets. The western aid to the Ukrainian army has been continuously upgraded. NATO has continuously strengthened its military deployment in the surrounding areas of Russia, such as Eastern Europe and the Baltic countries, actively recruited Sweden and Finland into the treaty, and NATO member countries such as Germany, France and Denmark have substantially increased their defense expenditures. These actions are constantly stimulating Russia’s security nerves.

  In the view of Hungarian Prime Minister Orban, Europe "has actually indirectly fought with Russia", "We will soon hear the so-called ‘ Peacekeeping forces ’ This kind of thing. " Fyodor Lukjanov, research director of the Valdai International Debate Club in Russia, believes that the supply of tanks by the West to Ukraine is likely to lead Russia and NATO to the brink of direct conflict. In an interview with Tass news agency, Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov also warned that western policies aimed at comprehensively containing Russia are extremely dangerous and may lead to direct armed conflicts between nuclear powers.

  In response to western military pressure, Russia is also stepping up its military strength and demonstrating its strategic deterrent capability. On the one hand, the Russian army increased its attack on the military, communications and energy infrastructure of Ukraine in order to undermine the potential of the Ukrainian war. On the other hand, Russia has expanded its military strength through partial mobilization, and plans to carry out large-scale adjustment from 2023 to 2026, expanding the number of troops to 1.5 million, and at the same time strengthening equipment supply guarantee and infrastructure construction to meet national defense needs.

  The reason why this crisis has reached this stage lies in the fact that NATO, led by the United States, sticks to the Cold War mentality, indulges in zero-sum games and is keen on camp confrontation, trying to weaken Russia to the maximum extent through "proxy war". "With the closure of the dialogue channel, the artillery became a megaphone." Pan Kajie Mishra, a columnist of Bloomberg News, wrote that the escalating military assistance from the United States and Europe to Ukraine has opened a "dangerous new era" in global politics.

  On March 25th, 2022, in Kharkov, Ukraine, after an attack, a man searched for items from a burning shop. Vision china diagram

  Geopolitical map remodeling

  As Mishra said, the escalation of the Ukrainian crisis profoundly reshaped the global geopolitical pattern.

  The confrontation between the west and Russia, led by the United States, has intensified. Fu Limin, a former US Assistant Secretary of Defense and senior diplomat, said in an interview with Xinhua News Agency a few days ago that US President Biden repeatedly stressed that the US supports Ukraine "as long as it takes". If Biden’s meaning is consistent with that of US Secretary of Defense Austin, that is, the main goal of the United States is to weaken and isolate Russia, then this goal will not only be achieved, but also lead to a series of negative consequences. If the bloody conflict continues for a long time, it will not be good for Europe, Russia, Ukraine and the United States.

  There is a growing rift between Europe, which has been hit, and the United States, which is profiting from it. At the beginning of the escalation of the Ukrainian crisis, Europe and the United States showed a gesture of "unity", but soon Europe strongly felt the anti-itself effect brought by sanctions against Russia: energy prices soared, prices rose sharply, and people complained. The United States not only sold energy and arms to Europe at high prices, but also enacted the Inflation Reduction Act and the Chip and Science Act of 2022, which contained huge industrial subsidies and overbearing provisions to curb competition, seriously hurting European interests and causing strong dissatisfaction among European countries. Michele Geraci, former Italian Deputy Minister of Economic Development, said that NATO’s eastward expansion under the leadership of the United States is one of the root causes of the escalation of the Ukrainian crisis, and the cost of the crisis is mainly borne by Europe.

  Most developing countries refuse to take sides and show their willingness to be independent. The US government once pressured Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates and other allies in the Middle East to increase oil production to lower international oil prices, and cooperated with Western sanctions against Russia, resulting in a cold reception. At the 59th Munich Security Conference held a few days ago, the leaders of the United States and other western countries trumpeted the "Russian threat theory", which was refuted by developing countries. Colombian Vice President Francesca Marquez said: "We don’t want to continue to discuss who will win or lose the war. We are all losers. " The Financial Times website pointed out that some leaders in African and South American countries were obviously disappointed. They believed that the Ukrainian crisis consumed time, money and attention at the expense of other pressing issues.

  In fact, developing countries are increasingly dissatisfied with the western-led international order. The Munich Security Report 2023 released by the Mu An Conference pointed out that the escalation of the Ukrainian crisis has brought challenges to the international order, and many Asian, African and Latin American countries have "reasonable dissatisfaction" with the existing international order. Such dissatisfaction needs to be respected and the world needs to reshape the vision of the international order.

  On June 15th, 2022, local time, in Donbass region, Ukrainian soldiers opened fire on Russian positions on the front line of Donbass region in eastern Ukraine with a French Caesar gun of 155 mm /52 times caliber. Vision china diagram

  Spillover effects spread all over the world

  Faced with the double price of tomatoes, rice, eggs and other foods, Egyptian garbage collector Abdarrahman had to find a part-time job at night to support three children; Meria, a small Tunisian farmer, could not afford the surge in the cost caused by the surge in feed prices and had to sell one-third of his livestock to reduce losses; Margit, a Hungarian bread shop owner, watched the natural gas bill rise more than six times and his business was in trouble … … The escalation of the Ukrainian crisis, especially the severe western sanctions against Russia, has had a major impact on the economic and social fields of various countries, and the spillover effect has spread all over the world.

  On the economic level, the prices of food, energy and other commodities have risen, which has aggravated global inflation. Russia is a major producer of oil and natural gas in the world. Many rounds of western sanctions against Russia interfered with and destroyed the market mechanism, which led to a record high in European natural gas prices. Russia and Ukraine are both major grain exporters, and the conflict has blocked the exports of the two countries. In particular, the western countries set up "hidden barriers" against Russian agricultural products exports, which caused Russian exporters to be "stuck in the neck" in many links, and international food prices fluctuated greatly. According to the data of the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, in 2022, a total of about 205 million people in 45 countries and regions were in a state of "crisis" or more serious food insecurity, with a significant increase over the previous year. According to the latest data of the International Monetary Fund, the global inflation rate was 8.8% in 2022, much higher than 4.7% in 2021. The inflation rates in the United States, Europe and Japan are all at high points in decades, and the inflation situation in some emerging markets and developing economies such as Turkey and Argentina is even more severe.

  On the social level, the escalation of the Ukrainian crisis triggered a new wave of refugees, which also aggravated the global poverty problem. Over the past year, millions of refugees have fled Ukraine, forming the largest refugee tide in Europe since World War II, crowding out public resources such as housing, education and medical care in European countries, making the finances of these countries overwhelmed and posing a severe test to their social security and coordination capabilities. From a global perspective, high food prices have the most serious impact on the poorest people in the world. According to the World Bank’s estimation, for every 1% increase in food prices, 10 million people in the world will fall into extreme poverty. The intensification of inflation is also intensifying social contradictions in many countries, and protests and riots caused by the decline in purchasing power occur from time to time.

  On November 13th, 2022, local time, members of a Ukrainian family were reunited for the first time since Russian troops withdrew from Hellson. Vision china diagram

  At present, the Ukrainian crisis has no signs of calming down, and the spillover effect on the world economy and society will continue. Georgieva, managing director of the International Monetary Fund, said that the Ukrainian crisis was the "biggest negative factor" facing the world economy in 2022, and it may be the same in 2023.

  劝和促谈方为正道

  乌克兰危机负载着上世纪冷战遗留的历史问题,凸显当下百年大变局中的复杂博弈。

  世界又一次站在历史的十字路口。

  中国对冲突扩大化、长期化感到担忧。一年来,中国始终站在和平一边,站在对话一边,倡导共同、综合、合作、可持续的安全观,为推动局势降温、尽早实现停火止战和避免人道主义危机作出努力。

  回顾中方历次表态,劝和促谈始终是关键词,呼吁理性冷静一以贯之。

  从冲突发生的第二天起,习近平主席就提议通过对话寻求政治解决争端。习近平主席明确指出,冲突战争没有赢家,复杂问题没有简单答案,大国对抗必须避免。他多次同法国、德国、美国等国领导人和欧盟等区域组织负责人通话,清晰阐明在乌克兰问题上的立场主张:“各国主权、领土完整都应该得到尊重,联合国宪章宗旨和原则都应该得到遵守,各国合理安全关切都应该得到重视,一切有利于和平解决危机的努力都应该得到支持”,“要坚持劝和促谈”“要防止出现更大规模人道主义危机”“要构建欧洲和亚欧大陆持久和平”“要防止局部冲突扩大化”。

  2022年4月,习近平主席提出全球安全倡议,为应对国际安全挑战、实现世界长治久安提出中国方案,在国际上获得广泛认同与支持。日前,中国政府发布《全球安全倡议概念文件》,为解决全球安全难题提供更系统的思路、更可行的举措。

  巴基斯坦总理夏巴兹·谢里夫说,全球安全倡议倡导协同合作的发展方式,这超越了通过强权竞争与军备竞赛来实现自身安全最大化的零和思维。印尼智库亚洲创新研究中心主席班邦·苏尔约诺表示,不同于某些西方国家片面追求自身安全的思维,中国提出的全球安全倡议追求的是共同安全,是强调和平、合作的安全观,有利于建立相互尊重、平等互信的国际秩序,对人类实现持久和平与长远发展具有重要意义。

  观察人士指出,人类社会绝不能重走阵营对立、分裂对抗的老路,绝不能陷入零和博弈、战争冲突的陷阱。建设一个更加安全的世界,是各国人民的强烈愿望,是世界各国的共同责任,更是时代前进发展的正确方向。全球安全倡议所倡导的理念主张,所提出的“支持通过对话谈判政治解决乌克兰危机等热点问题”的具体路径,为化解危机、维护世界和平稳定提供了重要指引。